SportF1What do Verstappen and Hamilton need to be champions?

What do Verstappen and Hamilton need to be champions?

After the vibrant and historic Grand Prix of Saudi Arabia, the difference in the world championship between Verstappen and Hamilton with only one race to go is… 0 points.

Once again in history, the title will be decided on the last Sunday of the course, at the Abu Dhabi GP , where it could be said that mathematically Max Verstappen arrives with a slightly better chance of becoming world champion for the first time and sportingly, with an almighty Mercedes, Lewis Hamilton would be the favourite.

It will be only the second time that two drivers have tied for the last race, something that only happened in the 1974 season, when Clay Regazzoni and Emerson Fittipaldi (finally champion) had the same points after the penultimate grand prix.

The combinations that would give Verstappen or Hamilton the 2021 F1 World Cup in Abu Dhabi

What Verstappen needs to be champion

  • Finish ahead of Hamilton, score or not
  • Neither of them score
  • Achieve the fastest lap if he is 10th and Hamilton is 9th

What Hamilton needs to be champion

  • Finish ahead of Verstappen IN POINTS
  • Be 10th or better if Verstappen drops out or doesn’t score

Namely…

Verstappen is F1 world champion if he finishes and hamilton is
1st 2nd or worse
2nd 3rd or worse
3rd 4th or worse
4th 5th or worse
5th 6th or worse
6th 7th or worse
7th 8th or worse
8th 9th or worse
9th 10th or worse
10th with fastest lap 9th or worse
10th without fast lap Outside the top 10
Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes

Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes

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Foto de: Andy Hone / Motorsport Images

Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes

Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes

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Foto de: Andy Hone / Motorsport Images

Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes

Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes

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Foto de: Andy Hone / Motorsport Images

Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes

Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes

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Foto de: Andy Hone / Motorsport Images

Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes

Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes

5/6

Foto de: Andy Hone / Motorsport Images

Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes

Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes

6/6

Foto de: Andy Hone / Motorsport Images

Who is champion if Hamilton and Verstappen leave in Abu Dhabi?

If none of the drivers finish the Abu Dhabi GP, they would tie on points and Verstappen would be the 2021 F1 world champion by number of victories (he has nine first places this year and Hamilton eight).

And given the reliability of modern F1 cars, especially the Mercedes, the chances are that if they both drop out it will be by accident between them.

However, beware… Michael Schumacher was stripped of all the points in the 1997 World Cup because he was considered guilty of his accident with Jacques Villeneuve’s Williams in the European GP that ended that season. The Ferrari man would have won the title if both had dropped out, but the Canadian managed to finish the race and become champion. The FIA disqualified Schumacher, who could not be runner-up.

That decision, and the penalty system F1 has introduced since then, indicates that Verstappen risks losing his crown if he and Hamilton collide and the Dutchman is deemed to be at fault.

If there is no accident or a double retirement for another reason, one of the two will win the title with a distance probably of more than five points (the victory gives an advantage of seven over the second and the fastest lap gives an extra one). However, be careful, because if there were a KO of both Verstappen and Hamilton and therefore they ended up tied, the Dutchman would win the most even World Cup in history in terms of points.

With all the scoring systems in the history of F1 (for several eras only some results were taken into account, leaving aside the worst results of each season), we have never had a tie-break champion, and the smallest difference was between Niki Lauda and Alain Prost in 1984, only half a point.

Several drivers were crowned by just one point, and in fact Kimi Raikkonen beat Hamilton (and Fernando Alonso) by one point in 2007, and Hamilton beat Felipe Massa by just one point in 2008.

The F1 constructors’ championship ahead of Abu Dhabi

Mercedes, which now leads Red Bull by 28 points, is on the verge of an eighth consecutive title. But beware: in the event of a tie after the race, although it is difficult for that to happen, the title would fall to Red Bull for victories (10 against 9).

Pos. Equipment Points Bahrain Italy Portugal Spain Monaco Azerbaijan France Austria Austria United Kingdom Hungary Belgium Netherlands Italy Russian Federation Turkey United States Mexico Brazil Qatar Saudi Arabia United Arab Emirates
1 Germany Mercedes 587.5 41 19 41 40 7 30 34 30 43 18 7.5 34 18 35 36 27 18 43 25 41
2 Austria Red Bull Racing 559.5 28 25 30 29 37 25 41 37 34 3 2 12.5 29 12 20 33 40 40 33 31 18

Mercedes will win the 2021 F1 constructors’ championship if…

  • One of your drivers is first or second, regardless of the result of the other
  • Its two pilots add together at least 17 points
  • If Red Bull fails to score at least 28 points more than Mercedes.

This season, Red Bull has scored at least 28 points more than Mercedes on just one occasion, in Monaco. Verstappen won and Perez was fourth (37 points in total) while Mercedes saw Hamilton finish seventh on the fastest lap and Valtteri Bottas retired due to a pit stop problem (7 points in total).

It should be noted that, except for a victory with a double podium for McLaren and a catastrophe for the Scuderia, Ferrari seems to have sealed the top 3 in the teams’ championship. As does Alpine for fifth place, as they are 29 points ahead of AlphaTauri. And in turn, the Italian team takes 43 points to Aston Martin for sixth place.

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