2020 US elections: Joe Biden maintains the lead in the polls but Donald Trump achieves good figures in key states

There is barely a week and a day left for the presidential elections in the United States, set for next Tuesday, November 3, and Joe Biden continues to command in the polls ahead of the president, Donald Trump, enjoying an advantage maintained over time. and as shown in the graphic that illustrates this information. This is the graph that explains the evolution of the average of the main polls carried out in the United States, and in which it is observed that Trump has not been able to approach his rival during the campaign. polls are not representative of reality at the polls, as was the case four years ago, when different polls, studies, and projections also gave the then-Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton largely the upper hand. The well-known result, surprising at the time, gave Trump victory thanks to his dominance in key states, despite the fact that in the global calculation of the popular vote he lagged some three million behind Clinton. the main indicators in the United States are not entirely positive for Trump this time. Some experts, such as two pollsters who in 2016 hit the magnate’s victory, slip certain airs of a small comeback, but without giving him the victory yet. Among other reasons, they explain, because the vote of the elderly, who in 2016 leaned towards Trump, could now turn towards Joe Biden: the management of the coronavirus would be one of the reasons that explains this change. In addition, projections confirm that Joe Biden generates less rejection among much of the electorate than Hillary Clinton in 2016.Another factor that Donald Trump’s team clings to is his favoritism in the key state of Ohio, while in Florida, another one that tends to tip the balance, equality is maximum. would maintain a small advantage in Ohio with 47% of vote intention, by 45.6% of Joe Biden. In Florida, for its part, for several months, the alternative in the leadership in the polls is constant. Right now it is Joe Biden’s turn to march ahead, with between one and two points of difference, but last week it was Trump who showed favoritism: and, according to the progression, in a quarter of an hour as they say, he could recover it.