EconomyLAST MINUTE: Treasury expects the Mexican economy to gain...

LAST MINUTE: Treasury expects the Mexican economy to gain strength and grow 3% in 2023

The Mexican economy will gain strength next year with lower levels of inflation and a stable trajectory of public debt relative to GDP. That is the main scenario that the Ministry of Finance expects in its proposal for the 2023 Economic Package that it delivered this Thursday afternoon to the Congress of the Union for discussion and subsequent approval.

The Economic Package is based on the principles of “austerity, efficiency and rationality”, where social, physical, security and education investment will be prioritized, said the head of the Treasury, Rogelio Ramírez de la O, in the Chamber of Deputies.

“The 2023 economic package that I am delivering today is balanced, responsible and realistic, and promotes the country’s economic recovery by anchoring spending levels and ensuring the operability of the public administration,” he said.

The official delivered this afternoon to the Chamber of Deputies the proposal for the 2023 Economic Package, which includes the General Criteria for Economic Policy, the initiative of the Federal Income Law (ILIF) in which the origin of public income is stipulated and general guidelines on how they are going to be generated, and the Federal Expenditure Budget Project (PPEF), which indicates how the money that is expected to be collected from taxes, rights, uses, oil sales and the acquisition of public debt.

For next year, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) would have a growth of 3%, a level higher than the 2.4% expected for this year, according to the Treasury.

The head of public finances highlighted that the public debt will remain stable and sustainable to stand at 49.4% of GDP in 2023, so there is continuity in the country’s transformation project.

He added that despite the challenges, the country has a solid base for growth, and that inflation seems to begin to give ground since August to begin to converge to the goal of the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) of 3% +/- one percentage point. .

The government estimates that inflation will go from 7.7% to 3.2% between 2022 and 2023, and that the peso-dollar exchange rate will remain at 20.6 in the period.

The General Criteria of Economic Policy contemplate that the Mexican export mix closes this year at 93.6 dollars, and that for the following it will average 68.7 dollars.

The oil production platform will go from 1,835 million barrels per day to 1,872 million in the reference period.

Mexico will close 2023 with a current account deficit of 1.2% with respect to GDP, a level lower than the 2% expected to end this year, according to the document delivered to the Chamber of Deputies.

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