Barclays estimates that the economy of Mexico's main trading partner will enter a recession in the fourth quarter of 2022 and will resume growth in the second half of 2023.
It is the second consecutive month in which the national economy suffers a contraction, after falling 0.2% in May, leaving behind the growth shown in April.
Although the Gross Domestic Product has three consecutive quarters of growth, in June economic activity contracted due to a drop in the primary sector.
In July, the unemployment rate fell to its pre-pandemic level in the United States, which could be the strongest evidence that the economy was not in a recession.
Inflation and the increase in interest rates cause a cooling of the growth engines of the Mexican economy, which will impact the GDP at the end of the year.
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