How is the weather in Germany this year? Not very good if you believe current forecasts.
Offenbach – What will the weather be like in Germany in 2021? The British weather service Met Office has published its long-term forecast and does not come to a positive result. Like 2020, 2021 is expected to be record-breaking warm. A meteorologist even speaks of a ” shock prognosis 2.0 “.
But how reliable is this forecast for the weather ? The British weather service Met Office had already forecast a record year for Germany in 2019 for 2020 – and was thus right. This is shown by the current data and confirms the seriousness of the prognosis. In 2020, the average temperature in Germany was 10.51 degrees Celsius, which is significantly higher than the average for the years 1961 to 1990. This is 8.24 degrees Celsius. “That is really a really bad result,” emphasizes meteorologist Dominik Jung from the Q.met weather service to the weather portal wetter.net.
Weather in Germany: 2021 ahead of a sad record – Meteorologist: “Shock prognosis 2.0”
There is also a sad trend in precipitation in Germany. In 2020, 708 mm fell and thus only 90 percent of the required amount. It is the third year of drought in a row. At the same time, the sun shone more often than on average: for a total of 1889 hours (121 percent).
| Climate funds from 1961 to 1990 | Climate funds in the years 1991 to 2020 |
|---|---|
| January: -0.5 degrees | January: 0.9 degrees |
| February: 0.4 degrees | February: 1.5 degrees |
| March: 3.5 degrees | March: 4.6 degrees |
| April: 7.4 degrees | April: 9 degrees |
| May: 12.1 degrees | May: 13.1 degrees |
| June: 15.4 degrees | June: 16.4 degrees |
| July: 16.9 degrees | July: 18.3 degrees |
| August: 16.5 degrees | August: 18 degrees |
| September: 13.3 degrees | September: 13.8 degrees |
| October: 9 degrees | October: 9.4 degrees |
| November: 4 degrees | November: 4.8 degrees |
| December: 0.3 degrees | December: 1.7 degrees |
| (Source: wetter.net) |
Weather in Germany: Temperatures will develop worryingly in 2021
Now the experts from the British weather service Met Office are also expecting record warmth for the weather in Germany in 2021 , even if this is not likely to be as extreme as in 2020. “La Niña could make it a little cooler, but in 2021 there will probably be a place below occupy the top five of the warmest years, ”explains Jung.
Met Office predicts that in 2021 it will be between 0.91 and 1.15 degrees Celsius warmer than the climate mean . The British experts assume an average of 1.03 degrees Celsius. “This is really not a good development that is emerging for the year 2021”, Jung sums up and even speaks of a “shock prognosis 2.0 “.
Weather in Germany: is global warming being played down? Expert is concerned
Jung also sees great danger in 2021. Because the long-term climate aid in the years 1961 to 1990 will be replaced in Germany by the years 1991 to 2020. The big difference is that the new climate agent is significantly warmer than the old one. “That is why it can now often happen that months are ‘too cold’. If that happens frequently, it could quickly be exploited in a populist way and used against scientifically proven global warming , ”says Jung about the weather .
If you compare the two climate means, you quickly notice that summer , winter and spring have the greatest deviations and have become significantly warmer. The temperature differences here are between 1 and 1.6 degrees Celsius. (Christian incense)
Rubric: © Clara Margais / dpa
