NewsExpert: Warning a few days before July floods

Expert: Warning a few days before July floods

A warning system forecast a flood for the Rhine basin that occurs once every 20 years. Did this information leak? A witness in the U-Committee speaks of a failure of the system.

Dusseldorf – A few days before the flood disaster in mid-July, according to the British expert Hannah Cloke, the European flood warning system EFAS gave an initial indication of a possible extreme event in the Rhineland.

On July 10, 2021, EFAS forecast a flood that occurs once every 20 years with a probability of 22 percent for the Rhine basin, said the hydrology professor as a witness in the investigative committee of the NRW state parliament in Düsseldorf.

This information was still uncertain, but you should be particularly careful in such a case, she explained. That would be the time when the national competent authorities look at some additional information in order to get a clearer picture of the situation.

“Admit that the system has failed overall”

She has no indication of how the information made available by EFAS was ultimately used by the relevant national and local authorities. EFAS partners received warnings. They could then independently access the warning system’s web portal and continue working there.

“When so many people die, we have to admit that the system has failed as a whole,” the expert reiterated the criticism she had already expressed, referring to the many dead. 49 people died in North Rhine-Westphalia alone.

She also emphasized that this criticism does not refer to certain parts of North Rhine-Westphalia. They did not investigate how the different parts of the system worked in the case of the flood disaster in July. dpa

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